It remains unclear which political direction ODM leader Raila Odinga will take after his failed Africa Union Commission (AUC) bid. ODM leader Raila Odinga (left) and MP Caleb Amisi (right). The former prime minister promised a major political announcement on his future in the coming weeks. All indications show the veteran opposition leader might enter into a coalition agreement with President William Ruto ahead of the 2027 General Election. However, Saboti Member of Parliament Caleb Amisi warned that any arrangement that removes Raila from the 2027 presidential ballot would have far-reaching consequences. In a tweet on Monday, March 3, Amisi predicted a low voter turnout in the upcoming polls if Raila is not on the ballot. The Saboti lawmaker said that Raila’s traditional strongholds will experience less than 47% voter turnout in 2027.
He argued that the low turnout might have an overall impact on the presidential election results given the strict constitutional requirement that each candidate needs 25% votes in at least 24 counties. Amisi, politicians crafting alliances ahead of the 2027 election should be careful, as some might end up crying, including Ruto. “Another indisputable fact is that if #RailaOdinga is not on the ballot 2027, his traditional stronghold will experience less than 47% voter turnout, which will be equivalent to votes from one county in Rift Valley. There is the; at least 25% in at least 24 counties constitutional threshold. Verily verily verily I tell you, next election is a disaster in the making. There will be proper weeping and gnashing of teeth. Align accordingly,” Amisi said.
by Amos Khaemba
