State's Covid strategy to cover its behind, time to demand a plan

 

Even at the best of times, Kenyan governments have not shown themselves to be paragons of efficiency. But these are hardly the best of times. In fact, they may very well be the worst — and President Uhuru Kenyatta’s government is living up to the pattern.

When the coronavirus was first announced in the country in mid-March, the government’s initial response was to close all ports of entry and institute a partial lockdown. It closed schools and later instituted a dusk-to-dawn curfew and mandatory quarantin.

It required people to wear masks in public and to work from home when possible; it restricted travel to and from four counties, including Nairobi,and shuttered restaurants and bars. The country looked to be off the blocks early. But was it too early?

The lockdown was instituted as coronavirus numbers were in the single digits. And for a time, it seemed to be working. Predictions of 10,000 infections by the end of April turned out to be overblown, with the government claiming credit for preventing them.

But with weeks of economic standstill taking its toll and even wealthier residents forced to hawk vegetables by the roadside, it was clear that the economy had to be reopened. The government began a phased reopening in the final week of April, but by then, there were already indications that infections were ticking up.

 

On July 6, President Kenyatta scrapped internal travel restrictions and announced that international flights would resume from August. Less than a week later, infections had crossed the 10,000 mark and in another two weeks stood at just over 15,000. These numbers may not be large when compared to the situation in countries such as the US, but the rate at which they are increasing is cause for concern.

It took the country 15 weeks to register its first 5,000 cases. It has taken just another four weeks since to get to 15,000 — and many experts believe Kenya is undercounting cases because the number of tests carried out is still woefully low.

The strategy appears to be falling apart - hospital beds reportedly full and patients being turned away, badly needed equipment such as ventilators going missing, jf intensive care beds reportedly being installed in governors’ mansions and cash to cushion the economy  reportedly being stashed away in private accounts.

The government's priority has apparently been to cover its own behind.

“Personal responsibility” is the mantra taken up by public officials from the President down. It places the burden of responsibility for the disease on the public and not the state. Throughout the crisis, the government has sought to paint Kenyans as the villains, blaming the rise in infections on their 'indiscipline'. 

Of course, this conveniently ignores the fact that the guidelines issued by authorities often took little account of Kenyans’ actual circumstances. Further, the brutality with which they were enforced and the terrible conditions those taken into mandatory quarantine had to endure did little to reassure them that the state was sincere. Reports of missing health equipment and recovery funds have done little to bridge the credibility gap.

So what happens now?

The country feels as if it is standing on the verge of a cataclysm and yet, at this crucial moment, the government is conspicuous by its absence. The last plan to be made public covered February to April, and was seemingly abandoned after the country’s first case was registered in March.

That plan articulated a worst-case scenario  that sounds pretty much like what is happening today, with unexplained respiratory illnesses, high person-to-person transmission and an overwhelmed system. It goes on to recommend that in such a scenario, the President would declare a national disaster. That is yet to happen.

More and more people are speaking of the government abandoning Kenyans at their hour of greatest need and it is breeding a dangerous fatalism. “Where will I get time to sanitise a client? At whose expense? How can I keep social distance? I will die of hunger if I remain at home. If coronavirus will kill me as I eke out a living, so be it!” a commercial sex worker told the Daily Nation.

Yet this is the time for citizens to demand more of their government, not shrug their shoulders at it or retreat into private solutions. Private actions are not a panacea for bad public policy. Washing hands, keeping social distance and staying at home are all necessary but not sufficient. The most important thing Kenyans can do to protect themselves is to demand that the state do the job they pay it to do. And that begins with asking for a plan.